Formulation of the Budget
- 31 Jan 2022
- 10 min read
Why in News
The Budget, which will be tabled in Parliament by the Finance Minister on 1st February is likely to address concerns around growth, inflation and spending.
- Budget is the government’s blueprint on expenditure, taxes it plans to levy, and other transactions which affect the economy and lives of citizens.
- According to Article 112 of the Indian Constitution, the Union Budget of a year is referred to as the Annual Financial Statement (AFS).
- The Budget Division of the Department of Economic Affairs in the Finance Ministry is the nodal body responsible for preparing the Budget.
- Components of the Budget: There are three major components—expenditure, receipts and deficit indicators. Depending on the manner in which they are defined, there can be many classifications and indicators of expenditure, receipts and deficits.
Based on their Impact on Assets and Liabilities:
Depending on the Manner in which it Affects Different Sectors:
- Implications of the Budget on the Economy:
- All Government expenditure generates aggregate demand in the economy since it involves purchase of private goods and services by the Government sector.
- All tax and non-tax revenue reduces net income of the private sector and thereby leads to reduction in private and aggregate demand.
- But except for exceptional circumstances, the GDP (Gross Domestic Product), revenue receipt and expenditure typically show a tendency to rise over time.
- Thus, the trend in absolute value of expenditure and receipts in themselves has little use for meaningful analysis of the Budget.
- The trend in expenditures and revenue is analysed either by the GDP or as growth rates after accounting for the inflation rate.
- Reduction in expenditure GDP ratio or increase in revenue receipt-GDP ratio indicates the Government’s policy to reduce aggregate demand and vice-versa.
- For similar reasons, reduction in fiscal deficit-GDP ratio and primary deficit-GDP ratios indicate Government policy of reducing demand and vice versa.
- Since different components of expenditure and revenue can have different effects on income of different classes and social groups, the Budget also has implications for income distribution.
- For example, revenue expenditure such as employment guarantee schemes or food subsidies can directly boost the income of the poor. Concession in corporate tax may directly and positively affect corporate incomes.
Fiscal Rules and its Effect on Policy
- Meaning: Fiscal rules provide specific policy targets on the basis of which fiscal policy is formed.
- Policy targets can be met by using different policy instruments. There exists no unique fiscal rule that is applied to all countries. Rather, policy targets are sensitive to the nature of economic theory and depend on the specificity of an economy.
- Fiscal policy refers to the use of government spending and tax policies to influence economic conditions, especially macroeconomic conditions, including aggregate demand for goods and services, employment, inflation, and economic growth.
- India’s Case: Its present fiscal rule is guided by the recommendations of the N.K. Singh Committee Report (set up in 2016).
- Allowing for some deviations under exceptional times, it has three policy targets - maintaining a specific level of debt-GDP ratio (stock target), fiscal deficit-GDP ratio (flow target) and revenue deficit-GDP ratio (composition target).
- Though both expenditure and revenue receipts can potentially act as policy instruments to meet specific set of fiscal rules, tax-rates within the existing policy framework happen to be determined independent of the expenditure requirement of the economy.
- Accordingly, in the present institutional framework in India, it is primarily the expenditure which is adjusted to meet the fiscal rules at given tax-ratios.
- Implications: Such an adjustment mechanism has at least two related, but analytically distinct implications for fiscal policy.
- First, independent of the extent of expenditure needed to stimulate the economy or boost labour income, existing fiscal rules provide a cap on expenditure by imposing the three policy targets.
- Second, under any situation when the debt-ratio or deficit ratio is greater than the targeted level, expenditure is adjusted in order to meet the policy targets.
- By implication, independent of the state of the economy and the need for expansionary fiscal policy, existing policy targets may lead the Government to reduce expenditure.
- In the midst of the inadequacies of fiscal policy to address the contemporary challenges of unemployment and low output growth rate, the nature and objective of fiscal rules in India would have to be re-examined.
N.K.Singh Committee Recommendations
- Debt-GDP ratio:
- The debt to GDP ratio should be 38.7% for the central government, 20% for the state governments together by FY 2022 – 23.
- Fiscal deficit-GDP ratio:
- The government should target a fiscal deficit of 3% of the GDP in the years up to 31st March 2020 cut it to 2.8% in 2020-21 and to 2.5% by 2023.
- Revenue deficit-GDP ratio:
- Revenue deficit-to-GDP ratio has been envisaged to decline steadily by 0.25 percentage points each year from 2.3% in 2016-17 to 0.8% in 2022-23.
- Recommended enacting a new Debt and Fiscal Responsibility Act after repealing the existing Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management (FRBM) Act, and creating a fiscal council.