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Report on Pandemic Threat

  • 19 Sep 2019
  • 3 min read

According to a report released by the Global Preparedness Monitoring Board (GPMB), the chances of a global pandemic are growing and the world is not prepared for the same.

  • The report titled ‘A World At Risk’ has been authored by 15 global scientists and public health leaders, including India’s principal scientific advisor, Dr K Vijay Raghavan.
  • It is co-convened by the World Bank and the World Health Organization (WHO).
  • WHO tracked 1,483 epidemics in 172 countries between 2011 and 2018.

Key Findings

  • Epidemic-prone diseases, such as influenza, Ebola, Zika, plague, yellow fever and others, are harbingers of a new era of high-impact, potentially fast-spreading outbreaks that are more frequently detected and increasingly difficult to manage.
  • Reasons Behind frequency: Population growth, urbanisation, globally integrated economy, widespread and faster travel, conflict, migration and climate change.
  • Possible Impact: A pandemic equivalent to the 1918 Spanish Flu could kill 80 million and wipe out nearly 5% of the global economy, devastating health systems and hitting low-resourced communities the hardest.
  • Indian Context: India has handled the threats of Nipah and zoonotic influenza viruses quite well. However, the threat of a devastating pandemic looms large on the world and India remains highly vulnerable.
  • Suggestions:
    • Intergovernmental organisations, donors and multilateral institutions need to come together to strengthen funding mechanisms, information sharing and continuous monitoring.
    • Multilateral financing organisations like the International Monetary Fund and World Bank need to integrate preparedness into replenishments, national and international financial risk assessments, incentive systems and funding mechanisms.
    • Increasing country preparedness by
      • raising funding,
      • doing more research into new technologies, vaccines and medicines,
      • establishing rapid communication systems,
      • launching a coordinated government, industry and community response;
      • and following through on international commitments.
    • Investing in building a competent health system:
      • Building high health system capability for prevention, effective surveillance, early detection and containment and appropriate management of any cases.
      • This requires a sufficiently large and well-skilled health workforce with public health expertise and well-resourced health care infrastructure apart from robust health information systems that can provide early alerts.

Global Preparedness Monitoring Board

  • Created in response to recommendations by the UN Secretary General’s Global Health Crises Task Force in 2017, the GPMB was co-convened by the World Health Organization and the World Bank Group and formally launched in May 2018.
  • It is an independent monitoring and accountability body to ensure preparedness for global health crises.
  • Its secretariat is located in Geneva, Switzerland.

Source: HT

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