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El-Nino Threatens Monsoon

  • 03 Jul 2019
  • 1 min read

According to the India Meteorological Department, the deficiency in rainfall in June was 33%.

  • With the El-Nino phenomenon being observed since the beginning of 2019, there are fears that this might lead to a deficient monsoon.

  • Deficient rainfall in June is devastating for farmers in large reaches of the country who have sown in expectation of rains.
  • This shortfall is observed not only in aggregate but also across regions.
  • Although a direct correlation between the two (rainfall deficiency & El-Nino) has not been established, rainfall data from 2000 onwards shows that monsoon rainfall is heavily impacted in the El-Nino years.
  • In five of these six El-Nino years (2002,2004,2006,2009,2014,2015), the monsoon rainfall was lower than the long-term average by 12% to 23%.
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