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Increase in Gold Prices

  • 24 Jul 2020
  • 3 min read

Why in News

Recently, the gold prices crossed Rs. 50,000 per 10 grams after nine years in India.

  • Gold prices in India are dictated by international prices. India is the world’s second-largest gold consumer after China.

Key Points

  • Reasons:
    • Global uncertainties triggered by Covid-19 pandemic, weak dollar, low-interest rates environment and stimulus programmes have increased the demand for gold.
    • Rising virus cases and USA-China tensions have also led to increase in the gold price.
  • Gold as Safe Haven:
    • Whenever stock markets, real estate and bonds fall across the world, investors turn to gold to park their funds. It is considered as a safe haven for investors during periods of uncertainties.
    • As gold is highly liquid and carries no default risk. It is scarce which has historically preserved its value over time.
      • Liquidity describes the degree to which an asset can be quickly bought or sold.
    • Further, supply growth of gold has changed little over time, in contrast to fiat money (paper currency), which can be printed in unlimited quantities to support monetary policy.
    • Gold is an integral part of wedding ceremonies in India. It is traditionally used as a hedge against inflation.
      • Global economies are considering stimulus to boost growth which may lead to increase in inflation further.
  • Return on Gold:
    • Historically, gold has generated long-term positive returns.
      • The price of gold has increased by an average 14.1% per annum since 1973 after Bretton Woods collapsed and the gold standard system of pegging the currency to gold ended.
        • Bretton Woods System was a fixed exchange rate system, under which gold was the basis for the US dollar and other currencies were pegged to the US dollar’s value.
    • Gold has surged nearly 40% in the last one year while the Sensex (benchmark index of Bombay Stock Exchange) showed a loss of 0.41% in the same period.
  • India’s Gold Market:
    • According to the World Gold Council (WGC), households in India may have around 24,000-25,000 tonnes of gold. Various temples across the country also hold sizable gold holdings.
    • The Reserve Bank of India bought 40.45 tonnes of gold in the financial year 2019-20, taking its total holdings of the gold to 653.01 tonnes.
    • India’s gold demand in 2019 was 690.4 tonnes compared to 760.4 tonnes in 2018.
      • The demand has reduced in 2020 due to lockdown caused by pandemic.
    • Around 120-200 tonnes of gold are estimated to be smuggled into India every year.

Source: IE

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