India Retains 4% Inflation Target for RBI | 27 Mar 2026

Source: TH 

Why in News? 

The Government of India has retained the 4% retail inflation target (with +/- 2% band) for the next 5-year period (1st April, 2026, to 31st March, 2031), reinforcing the flexible inflation targeting (FIT) framework adopted in 2016. This marks the 2nd such extension since March 2021, ensuring long-term macroeconomic stability. 

What is Flexible Inflation Targeting (FIT)? 

  • About: Flexible Inflation Targeting (FIT) is a monetary policy framework where the central bank uses its tools—primarily interest rates—to keep the inflation rate within a specific, publicly announced target range while also considering other economic factors like growth and employment. 
    • Unlike "strict" inflation targeting, which focuses solely on price stability, the "flexible" aspect allows the central bank to tolerate short-term deviations from the target to avoid causing excessive volatility in the real economy (like a sudden spike in unemployment or a crash in GDP). 
  • Legal Backing: Section 45-ZA of the amended RBI Act, 1934 mandates that the primary objective of monetary policy is to maintain price stability while keeping in mind the objective of growth. 
    • While New Zealand was the first to adopt inflation targeting globally in 1990, India formally shifted to FIT in 2016 following the recommendations of the Urjit Patel Committee. 
  • Components of FIT in India: 
    • Target: The Government of India, in consultation with the RBI, sets a numerical target for inflation. Currently, this is 4% with a tolerance band of +/- 2% (meaning a range of 2% to 6%). 
    • Anchor: The framework uses the Headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) (with base year 2024) as the primary anchor to measure inflation. 
    • Decision Maker: MPC meets at least 4 times a year to decide the Repo Rate—the rate at which the RBI lends to commercial banks—to influence overall inflation. 
    • Accountability: If the RBI fails to meet the target (inflation stays outside the 2%–6% range for 3 consecutive quarters), it must submit a report to the government explaining the reasons, remedial actions, and an estimated time frame for returning to the target. 
  • Performance Review: Over 9 years (2016-2025), FIT followed a hump-shaped performance, with the first and last three-year segments remaining aligned to the 4% target. Conversely, the middle three years saw an inclination towards the 6% upper tolerance band due to the Covid-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine conflict. 
    • Since the adoption of FIT in 2016, average inflation dropped to 4.9%, compared to 6.8% in the pre-FIT period. 

Monetary Policy 

  • About: Monetary Policy is the process by which a country’s central bank (the Reserve Bank of India in India) manages the money supply and interest rates to achieve specific macroeconomic goals. If there is too much money, inflation rises; if there is too little, the economy slows down. 
  • Core Objectives:  
    • Price Stability: Keeping inflation within a target range (currently 4% +/- 2%) to protect the purchasing power of citizens. 
    • Economic Growth: Ensuring that productive sectors like agriculture and industry have access to affordable credit. 
    • Exchange Rate Stability: Managing the value of the Rupee against foreign currencies like the Dollar to facilitate international trade. 
  • Key Instruments: 

Instrument 

Action to Reduce Inflation 

Effect on the Economy 

Repo Rate 

Increase 

Borrowing becomes expensive; consumption and investment slow down. 

Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) 

Increase 

Banks must keep more cash with the RBI, leaving less for lending. 

Open Market Operations (OMO) 

Sell Government Securities 

RBI sucks out excess liquidity from the banking system. 

Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR) 

Increase 

Banks must invest more in safe government assets, reducing private credit. 

  • Types of Monetary Policy: Monetary policy is generally classified into two categories based on its objective, i.e., whether the central bank wants to speed up or slow down economic activity. 
    • Expansionary (Dovish) Monetary Policy: This policy is used during economic slowdowns or recessions to boost demand and increase the money supply. Under it, the RBI reduces policy rates (like the Repo Rate) to stimulate economic growth. 
    • Contractionary (Hawkish) Monetary Policy: This policy is used when the economy is "overheating" and inflation is rising above the tolerance band. Under it, the RBI increases policy rates which discourages spending and "sucks" excess liquidity out of the system. 
  • Monetary Policy Stances in India: Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) often uses specific "stances" to communicate its future intentions to the market:  
    • Accommodative: Ready to cut rates or keep them low to support growth (Expansionary). 
    • Neutral: Rates could move in either direction (up or down) depending on incoming data. 
    • Hawkish: Focused strictly on controlling inflation, likely to hike rates (Contractionary). 
    • Withdrawal of Accommodation: A transition phase where the RBI starts removing the excess money it pumped into the system during a crisis (like the post-pandemic period). 

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) 

1. What is the current inflation target for the RBI under the FIT framework? 
The target is 4% with a tolerance band of +/- 2% (effectively 2% to 6%) for the period from April 1, 2026, to March 31, 2031. 

2. What is the statutory basis for Inflation Targeting in India? 
It is mandated under Section 45-ZA of the RBI Act, 1934, which requires the Government, in consultation with the RBI, to set the inflation target every five years. 

3. What happens if the RBI fails to maintain inflation within the tolerance band? 
If inflation stays outside the 2%-6% range for three consecutive quarters, the RBI must submit a report to the government explaining the reasons and outlining remedial actions. 

4. How does the MPC influence inflation? 
The six-member MPC, headed by the RBI Governor, decides the Repo Rate. By altering this policy rate, the MPC controls money supply and borrowing costs to align inflation with the target. 

UPSC Civil Services Examination, Previous Year Questions (PYQs) 

Q1. In India, which one of the following is responsible for maintaining price stability by controlling inflation? (2022) 

(a) Department of Consumer Affairs 

(b) Expenditure Management Commission 

(c) Financial Stability and Development Council 

(d) Reserve Bank of India 

Ans: (d)

Q2. Consider the following statements: (2020)  

  1. The weightage of food in Consumer Price Index (CPI) is higher than that in Wholesale Price Index (WPI).  
  2. The WPI does not capture changes in the prices of services, which CPI does.  
  3. Reserve Bank of India has now adopted WPI as its key measure of inflation and to decide on changing the key policy rates.  

Which of the statements given above is/are correct?  

(a) 1 and 2 only  

(b) 2 only  

(c) 3 only 

(d) 1, 2 and 3  

Ans: (a)

Q3. If the RBI decides to adopt an expansionist monetary policy, which of the following would it not do? (2020)  

  1. Cut and optimize the Statutory Liquidity Ratio  
  2. Increase the Marginal Standing Facility Rate  
  3. Cut the Bank Rate and Repo Rate  

Select the correct answer using the code given below:  

(A) 1 and 2 only 

(B) 2 only  

(C) 1 and 3 only  

(D) 1, 2 and 3  

Ans: B

Q4. Which of the following statements is/are correct regarding the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC)? (2017) 

  1. It decides the RBI’s benchmark interest rates. 
  2. It is a 12-member body including the Governor of RBI and is reconstituted every year. 
  3. It functions under the chairmanship of the Union Finance Minister. 

Select the correct answer using the code given below: 

(a) 1 only 

(b) 1 and 2 only 

(c) 3 only  

(d) 2 and 3 only 

Ans: (a)

Q5. The lowering of Bank Rate by the Reserve Bank of India leads to (2011)  

(A) More liquidity in the market 

(B) Less liquidity in the market 

(C) No change in the liquidity in the market 

(D) Mobilization of more deposits by commercial banks  

Ans: A